Those who pollute the least also stand to lose the most.
Westerners like you and me are the alpha consumers of the global marketplace -- never in the world's history have humans ever had so much. Which sounds awesome, except we know now that everything we consume comes with the cost of the carbons emitted to produce it.
Now, if the world were fair, we'd be the ones eventually footing that bill. But you know what they say about life, and this vitally important map shows exactly how true that old saw is. The ones least responsible for climate change are also the ones who pay the most dearly.

The map, produced by Jason Samson, a PhD candidate in McGill University’s Department of Natural Resource Sciences, provides a quantitative measure of climate-change impacts; the red spots indicate the places which stand to be damaged the most.
What follows just might be the most succinct, elegant summary of global warming's impacts ever created.
Created by DARA, a humanitarian research outfit, the 2010 Climate Vulnerability Monitor is a sprawling model that predicts, for every country in the world, the impacts of global warming in 2030. It's meant to serve as a guide to areas in crucial need of aid, and in so-doing, highlights a stark tragedy: Those who emit the most will suffer least, meaning the world's great powers have little incentive to address the problem.
Consider, for example, Africa, which has the lowest per capita carbon emissions in the world. DARA's chart looks at four different areas of climate impact:
- Health, which can suffer due to rises in Malaria and other diseases.
- Weather, such as severe storms.
- Habitat, which covers populated lands under threat.
- Farming, which can be devastated by desertification and shifting weather patterns.
Those four areas are represented by different icons:
- Heart icon = Health
- Hurricane = Weather
- House = Habitat
- Grain Silo = Farming
The severity of global warming is depicted by colored dots:
- Dark Green - Least impacted.
- Lime Green - Lightly impacted
- Yellow - Moderately impacted.
- Orange - Severely impacted.
- Red - Catastrophic.
The bigger and redder the corresponding dot, the worse things are. Impacts are divided into present day and a projection for 2030. What you see is that almost no region of Africa won't be severely affected:

Asia, meanwhile, fares a bit better -- but again, it's the most economically vibrant countries, such as Japan and Australia, which escape the worst impacts:

Europe does a little better still -- in fact, only Eastern Europe is under dire threat. Western Europe, meanwhile, is relatively unscathed:

Which brings us home. While America doesn't have quite the rosy outlook as Western Europe, we're surrounded by countries who can only envy how well we'll fare:
You'll see that they're clustered around the equator, for a simple reason: In places that are already hot, it's difficult to farm and get enough potable water. When temperatures rise, those difficulties grow exponentially. As Samson notes:
Take Somalia for instance. Because it’s so hot there, it’s already very difficult to grow things, and it will only become more difficult if the temperature rises. It’s also clear that Somalia is not a big contributor of greenhouse gas to the atmosphere. Now thanks to this map, we have concrete quantitative evidence of the disparity between the causes and the consequences of climate change at a national level.
But I'd argue that the greatest looming problem lies not in the red zones, but in the cool blue swathes of China. China is already the world's largest carbon emitter. Meanwhile their per capita incomes are tiny, but are growing at astonishing speeds. As the Chinese assume the earning power of Westerners, their carbon emissions will swell to staggering levels.
If this chart is right the Chinese won't feel global warming's effects as keenly as Africans, for example. Climate change will continue to feel like someone else's problem -- and so, like us, the Chinese can just go on getting rich. You can't blame them, and that's the tragedy.
COMMENTARY: From the looks of things, with about half of the continental U.S. hot and very cold (up tp 18 degrees below zero). China will fare about the same. Western Europe will come out smelling like a rose. I feel sorry for Africa. They are already having problems with fresh water and food. Looks like Rio de Janeiro will be a lot cooler. The Carioca's are not going to like that.I wonder what those who don't believe in global warming will be saying in 2030. We definitely need to move towards energy self-sufficiency and get off carbon-based fuels.
What is lacking from the DARA and McGill University studies, is the global effects of rising sea levels due to global warming. According to the GlobalFloodMap.org, if ocean sea levels were to rise just 18 inches most of the U.S.'s coastal areas would be under water. This includes all of the Eastern Seaboard from Main to Florida. Millions of people would be displaced. If you want to know how rising sea levels due to global warming with affect your continent, country or city click HERE.

Courtesy of an article dated March 9, 2011 appearing in Fast Company Design and an article dated December 15, 2010 appearing in Fast Company Design and the GlobalFloodMap.org

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