The latest electoral college map for the 2012 presidential election shows North Carolina's 15 electoral votes back as a toss up, as both President Barack Obama (Democratic Party) and Republican candidate Willard Mitt Romney are registered in a tie for the state, according to a Public Policy Polling Survey.
Real Clear Politis has now moved the state back into the toss up category, resulting in Obama leading in predicted Electoral College votes 201 to 191, according to RCP. That leaves 146 electoral votes as undecided still.
Electoral College Map on October 26, 2012 - Clear Politics (Click Image To Enlarge)
Just last week RCP had moved North Carolina as a "Leans Romney" state, but that "lean" now appears to be wiped out, and the state is still anyone's to call.
Some sources still maintain, however, that Romney will ultimately take the state; FiveThirtyEight has given the Republican candidate an 81 percent chance of winning the 15 electoral votes available there.
North Carolina has historically been a Republican leaning state, and in 2008 it was in fact the first time the Democrats had won the state since 1976.
Meanwhile Virginia is also an extremely tight contest, according to new polls. That state also was a Republican stronghold until the 2008 presidential election. President Obama won Virginia for the Democrats for the first time since 1964. At present a number of polls has Romney very marginally ahead of Obama in Virginia, but it's still too close to call confidently.
COMMENTARY: This is how Real Clear Politics sees the 2012 Presidential Race between President Barack Obama and Willard Mitt Romney as of October 26, 2012. RCP shows that the odds favor President Obama. RCP predicts that Obama ahead of Romney without Toss Up States: 201 to 191. Counting Toss Up States, Obama wins the Electoral College vote 290 to 248.
Click Image To Enlarge
In the key Battleground States of Ohio, Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado and Iowa, President Obama has low single-digit leads over Romney. Obama has a slight lead in Ohio (48.2 vs 46.3 or +1.9), New Hampshire (48.6 vs 47.2 or +1.4) and Iowa (49 vs 46.7 or +2.3). Romney has slight leads over President Obama slightly in Florida (48.9 vs 47.1 or +1.8). Both President Obama and Romney are in a virtual tie in Virginia (47.8 to 47.8) and Colorado (47.8 to 47.8).
The 2012 election is going right down to the wire. It could be as close as it was in 2000 when George W. Bush squeeked by Al Gore when Florida took him over the top. That margin of victory in Florida was by less than 1,000 votes after several recounts. There was so much controversy during the 2000 Presidential Election, that the final decision regarding Florida went to the U.S. Supreme Court where the conservative judges voted straight across the board for Bush, 5 to 4. I have hated Bush ever since then.
Let's hope that there is not a 269 to 269 tie in the Electoral College. That could be a disaster for the country, because then the House of Representatives would vote for President. That would not take place until after the new House of Representatives is sworn into office in January 2013. What a mess that would be. Each state would count as one vote depending on how the congressmen in each state voted. This means that New Hampshire would have as much weight as California. It is also possible that some of the representatives could cross-over and vote against their party line. Since there are more Red states than Blue States, it is very likely that Romney would win the House vote.
Courtesy of an article dated October 26, 2012 appearing in The Christian Post and an article dated October 26, 2012 appearing in Real Clear Poltics
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